Poker Theory

bballI have developed a theory. It probably won’t increase your profits, but it might help you understand the game…or at least show insight as to how I understand the game. Let me know if you agree.

Theory: The experience of a highly skilled poker player is equivalent to the experience of a moderately skilled player of any given sport.

Say I’m good, not great, at basketball. I go to make my shot and it may or may not go in the hoop. Conversely, if I was Kobe, I would almost certainly score. The less skilled I am, the more I rely on luck to cover my inconsistency. If I was Kobe–nay, better than Kobe–I would never need luck. The whole of my career would be nothing but net.

I’m saying poker is the same, only it hits a wall. If I am a bad card player, I require ample luck to make up for it. If I am moderate, I need less luck. If I possess flawless poker ability, I still require some luck to win any given hand.

My theory compares experiences, not performance. This is completely independent from the skill of your opponent.

Sorry if this post seems a little stream of consious and poorly worded. I haven’t really fleshed this out. So what do you think? Is luck as used in sports at all like the luck used in poker? Is it downshifted? Am I crazy?

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This entry was posted on Thursday, June 25th, 2009 at 11:12 pm and is filed under Rants & Ravings. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

View Comments to “Poker Theory”

Steve Brogan June 27th, 2009 at 12:02 am

Your thoughts kind of echo Mason Malmuth, whom I am currently reading. Luck can help make up for bad poker playing and I am guilty of having some good luck. My over game is improving although I do donk much more that I would like to.

I think it was PokerVixen that originally pointed that out to me and I first I said, oh sour grapes. But she was right and I have been improving my game.

She did make a mistake. You should never criticize a player at the table – it might make them a better player. You should always pause a second and say “Nice Hand” even while you might be thinking (*(@*(*@##.

Your comments have helped to ground me as well. Thanks for posting.

videopoker July 13th, 2009 at 5:20 am

i think if you want to be a skilled poker player you should play and be one of the PRO's get some tips and hints to them

pokermaniac August 28th, 2009 at 1:12 am

Poker is also a game of mental analysis which is the first tool or shall I say weapon to at least measure-up how and when you will beat your opponents. To analyze is to determine weather it's time for you to bet all you have for the winning.

Poker August 28th, 2009 at 1:59 am

Poker is a great game for mentally strong people

pokermaniac August 28th, 2009 at 7:12 am

Poker is also a game of mental analysis which is the first tool or shall I say weapon to at least measure-up how and when you will beat your opponents. To analyze is to determine wether it's time for you to bet all you have for the winning.

Poker August 28th, 2009 at 7:59 am

Poker is a great game for mentally strong people

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